The Republicans Only Have One Hope To Maintain Control Of The House: DCCC Incompetence

Following up on today's long early morning post about how badly the GOP is screwing up 2018 for themselves, I want to warn that the DCCC can pull a rabbit out of the hat and lose enough districts so the GOP keeps control of the House True... it will be difficult but that is, after all, the only thing the DCCC is good at. They know how to screw up an election. Take FL-27, for example. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen is retiring so the seat is empty. It should be the easiest district in America to win. And if the DCCC disappeared over night, it would be. In 2012 Obama beat Romney there 53.0-46.3% and last year Hillary beat Trump by an even wider margin: 58.5% to 38.9%, Trump's worse performance in a Republican-held district. The PVI went from an R+2 in 2015 to a D+5 this year, an absolutely massive swing. The only reason the district didn't go blue a decade ago is because Debbie Wasserman Schultz has worked tirelessly to undermine any and all opponents to her crony Ros-Lehtinen. Now Wassermann Schultz is so toxic that she no longer has any power at all. So how can the DCCC screw up FL-27 with her out of the equation? Looks at this graphic:

The NRCC sees that and says, "We have to run a Latino." The DCCC see it and says, let's be cool and run a non-Latino. The DCCC is pushing a The smartest Democratic operative in Florida was pessimistic about it today: "If the GOP nominates a Latino and the Democrats don’t, then the Democratic nominee will be crushed in the general election. That’s just the way it works here." The district is 73% Latino. Is that so difficult to understand? I guess it is; the DCCC is trying to make sure the nominee is state Rep David Richardson, not one of the Latino candidates-- or even one of the fake-Latinas with Hispanic last names.

And that's far from the only district with the same DCCC problem. Take TX-23. Hillary won it last year 49.8% to 46.4%. The Latino population is 71% of the district. But the Democrats keep nominating shitty GOP-lite candidates and scratch their heads and ask why they can't get the Latinos to vote. This year they're ignoring progressive Rick Treviño and pushing absolutely dreadful establishment Blue Dog hack Jay Hulings-- already endorsed by both the Blue Dogs and the New Dems. The PVI has gone from an R+3 in 2015 to an R+1 this year.

Another district where the DCCC isn't even trying is CA-22, Devin "Trump/Putin" Nunes' Central Valley district where whites are just 41.9% of the population and Latinos are the biggest ethnic group. It stretches from the suburbs south of Fresno through Hanford, Coalinga, Corcoran, Delano and Wasco into the suburbs south and east of Bakersfield. It's rated as "solid Republican" despite Nunes' consistently anti-American behavior. The DCCC has decided the best candidate to run, despite's progressive Ricardo Franco being in the race, is a right-wing Republican-lite candidate, Andrew Janz, who told me the two things that motivated him to run for Congress were a desire to see more use of capital punishment and to protect the Second Amendment. That's it; he was unaware at the time of what the term "single payer" meant. He's the DCCC guy. That should be a seat the Democrats take, if not in 2018, then in 2020. But unless there are serious changes at the DCCC, the district will be red even if the wave is so high that Pelosi and Lujan are floating around in a facsimile of Noah's Ark.